Friday, July 11, 2025

Forging the Future Together: The Strategic Arc of India-Japan Relations

 Forging the Future Together: The Strategic Arc of India-Japan Relations

India and Japan’s “Special Strategic and Global Partnership” has matured into one of Asia’s most consequential bilateral relationships. Anchored in shared values and reinforced by robust institutional frameworks, this partnership spans economic expansion, strategic convergence, technological cooperation, and cultural connectivity. As India surpasses Japan in GDP and asserts itself globally, the deepening Indo-Japanese cooperation reflects a shared vision for stability, resilience, and innovation across the Indo-Pacific.

Introduction: Foundations of Trust and Strategic Vision

The bilateral relationship between India and Japan reflects an enduring convergence of civilizational ethos and modern strategic interests. Celebrating a decade of their elevated partnership in 2024, the nations reaffirmed their commitment to democratic values, multilateralism, and regional stability through high-level engagements at the G7, Quad, and bilateral summits.

Economic and Trade Expansion: Unlocking Synergies

Trade Diversification Imperatives

While FY2023-24 trade touched US$ 22.85 billion, India’s exports remain modest at US$ 5.15 billion, placing Japan only 24th among Indian export destinations. With India’s strengths in manufacturing, agritech, and digital services, and Japan’s edge in precision technology, a focused effort to diversify trade can unlock significant untapped potential.

Investment Acceleration

Cumulative Japanese FDI into India (US$ 43.2 billion) marks Japan as the fifth largest investor. Intentions to mobilize JPY 5 trillion (~US$ 30 billion) over five years underscore trust and alignment. Sectors such as green hydrogen, digital infrastructure, and industrial manufacturing present new frontiers.

Japan remains the largest foreign holder of U.S. Treasury securities, indicating its appetite for stable long-term investments. With India’s stellar economic performance over recent years and its rise to the fourth-largest global economy, Japanese investors are increasingly viewing India as a destination to diversify beyond dollar-denominated assets.

Supply Chain and Strategic Manufacturing

The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the need for resilient supply chains. Japan's “China+1” strategy aligns with India's competitive cost structures, demographic strength, and expanding industrial zones. MNCs—including Chinese firms—are actively exploring India for relocation and expansion, with Japanese corporates leading in semiconductors, robotics, and clean tech.

In a promising development, over 30 companies from Japan’s battery ecosystem visited India last week, signaling strong intent to scale operations. JETRO is well-positioned to advise industrial giants—Mitsui, Sumitomo, Mitsubishi, Toyota, Honda, Sony, Hitachi, National—on expanded manufacturing footprints in India. It is imperative that brands like National, rather than limiting their product range, seize market momentum to broaden offerings.

Startup, Innovation & Digital Collaboration

Platforms under the India-Japan Digital Partnership (IJDP) foster VC-backed innovation. JBIC’s support of early-stage ventures and JETRO’s Bengaluru Startup Hub illustrate synergies across gaming, AI, cleantech, and IoT.

Infrastructure & Capital Market Deepening

Japan’s ODA portfolio remains instrumental—ranging from metro systems to the Mumbai-Ahmedabad High-Speed Rail, which embodies advanced technology and mutual ambition.

Moving forward, JBIC and JICA can be engaged more deeply in financing Indian infrastructure through Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) and Infrastructure Investment Trusts (InvITs). Their strategic involvement can include equity stakes in institutions such as NABFID, IIFCL, REC, PFC, and IREDA—catalyzing green and digital transitions. Bilateral collaboration with Indian banks to offer credit lines for Japanese enterprises would further incentivize operational expansion.

Strategic and Security Partnership: Upholding Regional Stability

Dialogue Platforms and Exercises

The 2+2 Ministerial Dialogue and Defence Ministerial meets signal coordinated policymaking. Regular joint exercises—Dharma Guardian, JIMEX, and Veer Guardian—strengthen operational interoperability.

Maritime & Defence Technology Cooperation

From shared maritime domain awareness under Quad’s IPMDA to the co-production of “Unicorn Masts,” strategic technology transfer is evolving. Agreements on defence equipment cooperation and reciprocal logistics lay the ground for deeper collaboration.

Cyber and Space Security

The militarization of cyberspace and outer space requires joint norms and technologies. Working groups focused on cybersecurity, satellite collaboration, and AI-enabled defence applications form the next frontier.

Science, Technology, and Innovation: A Future-Facing Agenda

Joint Research Endeavours

The 2025 "India-Japan Science, Technology and Innovation Exchange Year" rejuvenates R&D cooperation in AI, quantum computing, and biotechnology. Dedicated centres and funding mechanisms can ensure continuity and scale.

Climate and Green Technology

The India-Japan Fund (US$ 600 million), spearheaded by JBIC and NIIF, invests in renewable energy and circular economy projects. Hydropower, clean hydrogen, and smart grids reflect shared climate commitments.

Semiconductor and Digital Ecosystem

As semiconductors underpin economic security, bilateral MoUs and policy dialogues signal joint ambitions for robust supply chains. Japanese firms are actively exploring India's incentive-led semiconductor ecosystem.

Space Exploration

India and Japan’s complementary strengths—in satellite tech, navigation systems, and lunar missions—offer fertile ground for bilateral and multilateral collaboration, including with Quad partners.

People-to-People and Cultural Connectivity: Building Enduring Bonds

Educational Linkages

Over 665 academic partnerships and growing student exchange programs (e.g., JENESYS, High School Exchange) nurture long-term intellectual and professional ties.

Tourism and Language Integration

Indian arrivals to Japan surged to 233,100 in 2024, with historic monthly records in 2025. Expanding language learning opportunities and easing visa rules can further this momentum.

Youth Engagement

Japan-East Asia Network of Exchange for Students and Youths (JENESYS) and state-level outreach—e.g., visits by Chief Ministers—deepen sub-national collaboration and youth mobility.

Regional and Global Coordination: Strategic Multilateralism

Engagement through Quad, G20, and IPOI

India and Japan jointly champion a Free and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP) through the Quad’s maritime and technological initiatives. Japan’s leadership in the IPOI’s Connectivity pillar is particularly impactful.

Third Country Cooperation

Trilateral engagements in Africa and Southeast Asia—where India’s industrial capabilities complement Japan’s financing and technology—expand strategic depth.

Institutional Catalysts: JETRO, JICA, JBIC

Together, these institutions enable economic integration and strategic depth:

JETRO facilitates market access, identifies sectoral opportunities, and fosters startup collaboration. It can now play an expanded advisory role for Japan’s marquee corporations on scaling in India.

JICA anchors development cooperation with over INR 440,000 crore in committed ODA and transformative projects in urban transport, water, and logistics.

JBIC strategically finances digital infrastructure, industrial manufacturing, and renewables. It is well-positioned to enter India’s infrastructure financing landscape via InvITs, REITs, and equity stakes in critical PSUs.

Their coordination underpins the comprehensive architecture of the bilateral partnership, with growing appetite to invest not just in greenfield infrastructure, but also in India’s robust institutional ecosystem.

Conclusion: Towards a Resilient and Inclusive Indo-Pacific

The India-Japan Special Strategic and Global Partnership is no longer an aspiration—it is an operational reality. Anchored in mutual respect and strategic convergence, the partnership is shaping regional norms, accelerating sustainable development, and fostering technological self-reliance. With shared institutions, visionary leadership, and growing citizen-to-citizen connections, India and Japan are forging a future that balances ambition with responsibility—charting a bold course for the Indo-Pacific and beyond.